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Fundamental analysis studies the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity, like a stock or currency. It attempts to predict price action and trends by analyzing economic indicators, government policy, societal and other factors within a business cycle framework. If you think of the markets as a big clock, fundamentals are the gears and springs that move the hands around the face. Anyone can tell you what time it is now, but the fundamentalist knows about the inner workings that move the clock's hands towards times (or prices) in the future

Forex basic

The Skinny on Forex TradingPrint
What is FOREX?
The Foreign Exchange market, also referred to as the "FOREX" or "Forex" or "Retail forex" or "FX" or "Spot FX" or just "Spot" is the largest financial market in the world, with a volume of over $4 trillion a day. If you compare that to the $25 billion a day volume that the New York Stock Exchange trades, you can easily see how enormous the Foreign Exchange really is. It actually equates to more than three times the total amount of the stocks and futures markets combined! Forex rocks!
What is traded on the Foreign Exchange market?
The simple answer is money. Forex trading is the simultaneous buying of one currency and the selling of another. Currencies are traded through a broker or dealer, and are traded in pairs; for example the euro and the US dollar (EUR/USD) or the British pound and the Japanese Yen (GBP/JPY).
Because you're not buying anything physical, this kind of trading can be confusing. Think of buying a currency as buying a share in a particular country. When you buy, say, Japanese Yen, you are in effect buying a share in the Japanese economy, as the price of the currency is a direct reflection of what the market thinks about the current and future health of the Japanese economy.In general, the exchange rate of a currency versus other currencies is a reflection of the condition of that country's economy, compared to the other countries' economies.
Unlike other financial markets like the New York Stock Exchange, the Forex spot market has neither a physical location nor a central exchange. The Forex market is considered an Over-the-Counter (OTC) or 'Interbank' market, due to the fact that the entire market is run electronically, within a network of banks, continuously over a 24-hour period.
Until the late 1990's, only the "big guys" could play this game. The initial requirement was that you could trade only if you had about ten to fifty million bucks to start with! Forex was originally intended to be used by bankers and large institutions - and not by us "little guys". However, because of the rise of the Internet, online Forex trading firms are now able to offer trading accounts to 'retail' traders like us.
All you need to get started is a computer, a high-speed Internet connection, and the information contained within this site.
BabyPips.com was created to introduce novice or beginner traders to all the essential aspects of foreign exchange, in a fun and easy-to-understand manner.
What is a Spot Market?
A spot market is any market that deals in the current price of a financial instrument.
Forex currency symbols are always three letters, where the first two letters identify the name of the country and the third letter identifies the name of that country’s currency.
When Can Currencies Be Traded?
The spot FX market is unique within the world markets. It’s like a Super Wal-Mart where the market is open 24-hours a day. At any time, somewhere around the world a financial center is open for business, and banks and other institutions exchange currencies every hour of the day and night with generally only minor gaps on the weekend.
The foreign exchange markets follow the sun around the world, so you can trade late at night (if you’re a vampire) or in the morning (if you’re an early bird). Keep in mind though, the early bird doesn’t necessarily get the worm in this market - you might get the worm but a bigger, nastier bird of prey can sneak up and eat you too…
The Forex market (OTC)
The Forex OTC market is by far the biggest and most popular financial market in the world, traded globally by a large number of individuals and organizations. In the OTC market, participants determine who they want to trade with depending on trading conditions, attractiveness of prices and reputation of the trading counterpart.
The chart below shows global foreign exchange activity. The dollar is the most traded currency, being on one side of 86% of all transactions. The euro’s share is second at 37%, while that of the yen is third at 16.5%.
Why Trade Foreign Currencies?
There are many benefits and advantages to trading Forex. Here are just a few reasons why so many people are choosing this market:
No commissions.No clearing fees, no exchange fees, no government fees, no brokerage fees. Brokers are compensated for their services through something called the bid-ask spread.
No middlemen. Spot currency trading eliminates the middlemen, and allows you to trade directly with the market responsible for the pricing on a particular currency pair.
No fixed lot size.In the futures markets, lot or contract sizes are determined by the exchanges. A standard-size contract for silver futures is 5000 ounces. In spot Forex, you determine your own lot size. This allows traders to participate with accounts as small as $250 (although we explain later why a $250 account is a bad idea).
Low transaction costs. The retail transaction cost (the bid/ask spread) is typically less than 0.1 percent under normal market conditions. At larger dealers, the spread could be as low as .07 percent. Of course this depends on your leverage and all will be explained later.
A 24-hour market. There is no waiting for the opening bell - from Sunday evening to Friday afternoon EST, the Forex market never sleeps. This is awesome for those who want to trade on a part-time basis, because you can choose when you want to trade--morning, noon or night.
No one can corner the market.The foreign exchange market is so huge and has so many participants that no single entity (not even a central bank) can control the market price for an extended period of time.
Leverage.In Forex trading, a small margin deposit can control a much larger total contract value. Leverage gives the trader the ability to make nice profits, and at the same time keep risk capital to a minimum. For example, Forex brokers offer 200 to 1 leverage, which means that a $50 dollar margin deposit would enable a trader to buy or sell $10,000 worth of currencies. Similarly, with $500 dollars, one could trade with $100,000 dollars and so on. But leverage is a double-edged sword. Without proper risk management, this high degree of leverage can lead to large losses as well as gains.
High Liquidity.Because the Forex Market is so enormous, it is also extremely liquid. This means that under normal market conditions, with a click of a mouse you can instantaneously buy and sell at will. You are never "stuck" in a trade. You can even set your online trading platform to automatically close your position at your desired profit level (a limit order), and/or close a trade if a trade is going against you (a stop loss order).
Free “Demo” Accounts, News, Charts, and Analysis. Most online Forex brokers offer 'demo' accounts to practice trading, along with breaking Forex news and charting services. All free! These are very valuable resources for “poor” and SMART traders who would like to hone their trading skills with 'play' money before opening a live trading account and risking real money.
“Mini” and “Micro” Trading: You would think that getting started as a currency trader would cost a ton of money. The fact is, compared to trading stocks, options or futures, it doesn't. Online Forex brokers offer "mini" and “micro” trading accounts, some with a minimum account deposit of $300 or less. Now we're not saying you should open an account with the bare minimum but it does makes Forex much more accessible to the average (poorer) individual who doesn't have a lot of start-up trading capital.
What Tools Do I Need to Start Trading Forex?
A computer with a high-speed Internet connection and all the information on this site is all that is needed to begin trading currencies.
What Does It Cost to Trade Forex?
An online currency trading (a “micro account”) may be opened with a couple hundred bucks. Do not laugh – micro accounts and its bigger cousin, the mini account, are both good ways to get your feet wet without drowning. For a micro account, we'd recommend at least $1,000 to start. For a mini account, we’d recommend at least $10,000 to start

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NEPAL RASTRA BANKForeign Exchange DepartmentExchange Rates for Sunday, January 09, 2000(Exchange Rates fixed by Nepal Rastra Bank)
Currency Unit Buying Selling
IndianRupee 100 Rs.160.00 Rs.160.15
Open Market Exchange Rates(For the purpose of Nepal Rastra Bank)
Currency Unit Buying Selling
U.S. Dollar 1 Rs. 68.40 Rs. 69.05
Euro 1 Rs. 70.48 Rs. 71.15
Pound Sterling 1 Rs.112.57 Rs.113.64
German Mark 1 Rs. 36.04 Rs. 36.38
Swiss Franc 1 Rs. 43.87 Rs. 44.29
Australian Dollar 1 Rs. 44.75 Rs. 45.18
Canadian Dollar 1 Rs. 46.88 Rs. 47.32
Netherlands Guilder 1 Rs. 31.98 Rs. 32.29
Singapore Dollar 1 Rs. 41.14 Rs. 41.53
French Franc 1 Rs. 10.74 Rs.10.85
Japanese Yen 10 Rs. 6.49 Rs. 6.55
Only Buying Rates
Currency Unit Rates
Swedish Kroner 1 Rs.8.17
Austrian Shilling 1 Rs.5.12
Danish Kroner 1 Rs.9.47
Hong Kong Dollar 1 Rs.8.79
Saudi Arab Riyal 1 Rs.18.24
Belgium Franc 10 Rs.17.47
Italian Lira 100 Rs.3.64
Note: Under the present system the open market exchange ratesquoted by different banks may differ.

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The foreign exchange market (currency, forex, or FX) is where currency trading takes place. It is where banks and other official institutions facilitate the buying and selling of foreign currencies. FX transactions typically involve one party purchasing a quantity of one currency in exchange for paying a quantity of another. The foreign exchange market that we see today started evolving during the 1970s when worldover countries gradually switched to floating exchange rate from their erstwhile exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system till 1971.

Presently, the FX market is one of the largest and most liquid financial markets in the world, and includes trading between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, corporations, governments, and other financial institutions. The average daily volume in the global foreign exchange and related markets is continuously growing. Traditional daily turnover was reported to be over US$3.2 trillion in April 2007 by the Bank for International Settlements. Since then, the market has continued to grow. According to Euromoney's annual FX Poll, volumes grew a further 41% between 2007 and 2008.

The purpose of FX market is to facilitate trade and investment. The need for a foreign exchange market arises because of the presence of multifarious international currencies such as US Dollars, Euros, Japanese yen, Pounds Sterling, etc., and the need for trading in such currencies.


Market size and liquidity

The foreign exchange market is unique because of

  • its trading volumes,
  • the extreme liquidity of the market,
  • its geographical dispersion,
  • its long trading hours: 24 hours a day except on weekends (from 22:00 UTC on Sunday until 22:00 UTC Friday),
  • the variety of factors that affect exchange rates.
  • the low margins of profit compared with other markets of fixed income (but profits can be high due to very large trading volumes)
  • the use of leverage
Main foreign exchange market turnover, 1988 - 2007, measured in billions of USD.

As such, it has been referred to as the market closest to the ideal perfect competition, notwithstanding market manipulation by central banks. According to the Bank for International Settlements, average daily turnover in global foreign exchange markets is estimated at $3.98 trillion. Trading in the world's main financial markets accounted for $3.21 trillion of this. This approximately $3.21 trillion in main foreign exchange market turnover was broken down as follows:

  • $1.005 trillion in spot transactions
  • $362 billion in outright forwards
  • $1.714 trillion in foreign exchange swaps
  • $129 billion estimated gaps in reporting

Of the $3.98 trillion daily global turnover, trading in London accounted for around $1.36 trillion, or 34.1% of the total, making London by far the global center for foreign exchange. In second and third places respectively, trading in New York accounted for 16.6%, and Tokyo accounted for 6.0%.[4] In addition to "traditional" turnover, $2.1 trillion was traded in derivatives.

Exchange-traded FX futures contracts were introduced in 1972 at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and are actively traded relative to most other futures contracts.

Several other developed countries also permit the trading of FX derivative products (like currency futures and options on currency futures) on their exchanges. All these developed countries already have fully convertible capital accounts. Most emerging countries do not permit FX derivative products on their exchanges in view of prevalent controls on the capital accounts. However, a few select emerging countries (e.g., Korea, South Africa, India—[2]; [3]) have already successfully experimented with the currency futures exchanges, despite having some controls on the capital account.

FX futures volume has grown rapidly in recent years, and accounts for about 7% of the total foreign exchange market volume, according to The Wall Street Journal Europe (5/5/06, p. 20).

Top 10 currency traders [5]
% of overall volume, May 2008
RankNameVolume
1Flag of Germany Deutsche Bank21.70%
2Flag of Switzerland UBS AG15.80%
3Flag of the United Kingdom Barclays Capital9.12%
4Flag of the United States Citi7.49%
5Flag of the United Kingdom Royal Bank of Scotland7.30%
6Flag of the United States JPMorgan4.19%
7Flag of the United Kingdom HSBC4.10%
8Flag of the United States Lehman Brothers3.58%
9Flag of the United States Goldman Sachs3.47%
10Flag of the United States Morgan Stanley2.86%

Foreign exchange trading increased by 38% between April 2005 and April 2006 and has more than doubled since 2001. This is largely due to the growing importance of foreign exchange as an asset class and an increase in fund management assets, particularly of hedge funds and pension funds. The diverse selection of execution venues have made it easier for retail traders to trade in the foreign exchange market. In 2006, retail traders constituted over 2% of the whole FX market volumes with an average daily trade volume of over US$50-60 billion (see retail trading platforms).[6] Because foreign exchange is an OTC market where brokers/dealers negotiate directly with one another, there is no central exchange or clearing house. The biggest geographic trading centre is the UK, primarily London, which according to IFSL estimates has increased its share of global turnover in traditional transactions from 31.3% in April 2004 to 34.1% in April 2007. The ten most active traders account for almost 80% of trading volume, according to the 2008 Euromoney FX survey.[3] These large international banks continually provide the market with both bid (buy) and ask (sell) prices. The bid/ask spread is the difference between the price at which a bank or market maker will sell ("ask", or "offer") and the price at which a market-maker will buy ("bid") from a wholesale customer. This spread is minimal for actively traded pairs of currencies, usually 0–3 pips. For example, the bid/ask quote of EUR/USD might be 1.2200/1.2203 on a retail broker. Minimum trading size for most deals is usually 100,000 units of base currency, which is a standard "lot".


These spreads might not apply to retail customers at banks, which will routinely mark up the difference to say 1.2100/1.2300 for transfers, or say 1.2000/1.2400 for banknotes or travelers' checks. Spot prices at market makers vary, but on EUR/USD are usually no more than 3 pips wide (i.e., 0.0003). Competiti

Today's Market Update


LIVE FOREX QUOTES
New York Session Published: June 16, 2009 4:59 PM

The buck recovered a big portion of overnight losses in NY trading as risk aversion once again gripped the marketplace. Our proprietary risk aversion index ticked up to 1.95 from 1.83 and to the highest level now in five trading days. The S&P sank another -1.3% on top of yesterday's poor showing and now has the 200-day SMA within striking distance at 907.91 here. Below there would open up potential to the May lows and Ichimoku cloud top near 880 next. The VIX crept back up to 30.8 and the highest read since 4 June, highlighting the jitters in equity space. US bonds were better bid and the 10-year Treasury yield sank seven basis points towards 3.65% after sneaking above the 4% handle last week. Gold recovered and ended the day nearly $7 higher by 935/934. The precious metal should find good support into 925 where the 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and daily up-trendline lurk รข€“ below opens up to 900/880 next.

Dollar strength was pretty well across the board. EUR/USD dropped about -70 pips in the session towards 1.3840 as the close approached. The 1.3810/00 looks likely to be contested and a snap below should see more aggressive selling pressure emerge. USD/JPY sank -60 points into the 96.40/50 area and flirted with the 100- and 200-day SMAs which sit at 96.48 and 96.46, respectively. The daily close below should now open up potential for more weakness overnight. EUR/USD was absolutely annihilated -150 pips into the 133.40/50 range. The currencies of the resource-based economies were also under pressure as commodity prices corrected lower. USD/CAD popped more than 100 pips into 1.1340/50 while AUD/USD shed -90 pips into the 0.7940 area as a result.

Upcoming Economic Data Releases (Asia Session) prior expected
6/17 1:00 GMT AU Westpac Leading Index (MoM) APR 0.30% - -
6/17 1:30 GMT AU Dwelling Starts 1Q -9.90% - -
6/17 5:00 GMT JN BOJ Monthly Report

London SessionPublished: June 16, 2009 6:19 AM

USDJPY has moved off it the 96.10 low which was seen in very early London hours. Even so, the JPY is holding onto significant gains vs the USD and also on the crosses. Heavy losses in stock markets in the US and Asia overnight are coincide with the JPY's overnight gains, the better tone of stocks in European hours has relieved some of that demand. The approach of key technical support at 917 in the S&P will be watched this afternoon.
As expected the BoJ left rates unchanged at 0.1% at its regular meeting. While it had little market impact the BoJ upgraded its economic outlook stating that conditions have begun to stop worsening and are likely to show clearer evidence of levelling out over time.
The AUD has had a positive session despite the move away from risk implied by the overnight stock market falls and JPY gains. The release of the minutes of the June RBA meeting encouraged speculation that RBA rates have now bottoming. While the RBA included the warning that rates could again go lower, the minutes state that board members did not see a pressing case for further action. Given that Australian Q1 GDP, employment and confidence data have subsequently beat market forecasts the AUD found buyers on the news though it has failed to move beyond AUD/USD0.8100 this morning.
EUR/USD found a bottom in Asian hours and pushed higher from the 1.3750 level. While confidence in the ability of the Eurozone economy to recover over the coming months has been undermined by concerns over the outlook for its banking sector, this morning's profit-taking on short EUR/USD positions found further encouragement in the better than expected German June ZEW survey. The sentiment index rose to 42.7 in June from 28.5 in May. The current sentiment index rose for the first time since September 08, moving up 3.1 points to -89.7. The move higher in EUR/USD has failed to extend beyond 1.4000.
The release of the UK CPI data was stronger than expected at 2.2% y/y. Contrary to market expectations the index again stayed above the BoE's 2.0% inflation target. This will further diminish fears over deflationary risk. While base effects suggest inflation will fall further in the months ahead, on the margin the stronger data could encourage speculation that the BoE could bring forward rate hike fears sooner than previously expected, though the focus of policy is set to remain expansionary for some months yet. EUR/GBP has probed a touch lower, though most of this morning's rise in cable is on the back of the move higher in EUR/USD.
This afternoon, the market will be keeping an eye on the BRIC conference currently underway in Russia. US May housing starts and industrial production data will be keenly watched. US PPI and consumer confidence data is also due.

Asia SessionPublished: June 16, 2009 1:17 AM

Asian equities picked up where the US stock market left off, with most indices falling lower, led by the Nikkei's drop of 2.5% and followed by investors fleeing from riskier positions thus boosting both the Dollar and the Yen. Traders fled from risky assets like cockroaches scampering from a light being switched on, pushing the Yen to strong gains against the dollar and most notably the Aussie and Kiwi Dollars as fears that the current economic malaise is far from over. USD/JPY made dynamic moves in Asia, flying through various support levels to hit a 96.53 low after a drop totaling almost 140 pips for the day. Murmurs that tomorrow's US data including industrial production and housing starts might be unsavory helped push USD/JPY lower, and the move was further exacerbated when the BoJ left rates unchanged at .10%. Although the BoJ surprised no one by leaving its rate untouched, the BoJ followed up the move by stating that,''...economic conditions, after deteriorating significantly, have begun to stop worsening'', thus adding more fuel to the Yen moves higher. AUD/JPY saw a significant drop of nearly 165 pips, from 77.81 down to 76.16, and not to be left behind, NZD/JPY followed with a 130 pip drop from 61.73 to just under 60.45.

Although looking weak against the Yen, the Greenback made slight gains initially, but seemed to stumble late in the session against the Euro. EUR/USD, tumbling out of the gate hit a 1.3748 low, a level not seen since late May, before pushing back up over 1.3820 near sessions end despite uncertainties that still facing the Euro Zone economy. The Dollar did make up ground against the Pound, as the GBP/USD dropped from 1.63210 highs to lows under the 1.62200 level before stabilizing closer to 1.62700. As well as falling to the Yen, the Aussie and Kiwi both also fell against the Dollar as c ommodity prices continued to drift lower. Amidst the uncertainty, spot gold bounced from a 4 week low of $925.25 to breech the $932.85 per ounce level. Traders should be prepared for a good deal of data to be released later in the London markets...

Upcoming Economic Data Releases (London Session) prior expected


6/16/2009 7:15 SZ Industrial Production (QoQ) 1Q 0.10% -11.80%
6/16/2009 :15 SZ Industrial Production (YoY) 1Q -5.90% -10.00%
6/16/2009 8:30 UK CPI (MoM) MAY 0.20% 0.30%
6/16/2009 8:30 UK CPI (YoY) MAY 2.30% 2.00%
6/16/2009 8:30 UK Core CPI YOY MAY 1.50% 1.50%
6/16/2009 8:30 UK Retail Price Index MAY 211.5 212
6/16/2009 8:30 UK RPI (MoM) MAY 0.10% 0.20%
6/16/2009 8:30 UK RPI (YoY) MAY -1.20% -1.50%
6/16/2009 8:30 UK RPI Ex Mort Int.Payments (YoY) MAY 1.70% 1.30%
6/16/2009 9:00 GE ZEW Survey (Econ. Sentiment) JUN 31.1 35
6/16/2009 9:00 GE Zew Survey (Current Situation) JUN -92.8 -92.6
6/16/2009 9:00 EC Euro-Zone CPI (MoM) MAY 0.40% 0.00%
6/16/2009 9:00 EC Euro-Zone CPI (YoY) MAY 0.00% 0.00%
6/16/2009 9:00 EC Euro-Zone Labour Costs (YoY) 1Q 3.80% 3.00%
6/16/2009 9:00 EC ZEW Survey (Econ. Sentiment) JUN 28.5 34
6/16/2009 9:00 EC Euro-Zone CPI - Core (YoY) MAY 1.80% 1.60%